the girl was dressed with no shoes onthe big tenor man really blew his horn what a party, Lordy, Lordybig fat piano man, he sho' could wail awaywhat a party, Lordy, Lordybig fat piano man, he sho' could play somebody called a cop about half past fourhe knew he just couldn't get through that door what a party, Lordy, Lordybig fat piano man, he sho' could wail awaywhat a party, Lordy, Lordybig fat piano man, he sho' could play
Fats Domino - What A Party : What A Party 7"
Fats Domino - Rockin' Bicycle : What A Party 7"
Find them both in the box set They Call Me the Fat Man: The Legendary Imperial Recordings.
leave it to your heartdon't let your mind control your willlet your heart be your guide babyand throw away your foolish pride oh come on girloh come on girlcome on and make love to me honey
Little Johnny Taylor - Make Love To Me Baby : Make Love To Me Baby 7" Little Johnny Taylor - How Can A Broke Man Survive : Make Love To Me Baby 7" B-side Find them both on Everybody Knows About My Good Thing.
I've long been a fan of Josh Ritter, so when word started circulating about a new EP (titled Bringing In the Darkness and available here in download, CD, and vinyl versions), I was eager to experience it. The first peek of it was the above video for its second track, Love Is Making Its Way Back Home, and a lovely video it is. Created with 12,000 pieces of construction paper using stop motion animation, you can tell that a whole heaping full of love was put into its creation. I was so entranced with the artistry that I had to watch/listen to it a few times before I could shift my attention to enjoying the song as well.
The EP's six songs are soft and melodious, with finely crafted lyrics; exactly what Josh's strengths were from the beginning. It's light acoustic honey that shies away from the larger, complex sounds of some of the material on his last few albums.
Josh Ritter - Galahad : Live at Planet Bluegrass Ranch 8-20-11 (studio version on To The Yet Unknowing World) Visit his website and become his friend on Facebook.
I can still remember the pleasure I had in first listening to Robert Glasper's concept album Double-Booked back in '09. Since then I've kept my eyes and ears open for more of his work, as well as delving into his back catalog. My appreciation of the man and his music has not waned since. His artistry is ever widening, and it's clear that the rigid boundaries which have previously defined genres have no hold on him.
His latest album Black Radio, which dropped this last week, takes the exploration he's always espoused and multiplies it ten fold. Honestly, while I first introduced him on the pages of this blog under the label of jazz, Glasper has left that feeble container in the dust. His latest work, while having a toe or two still touching ground in the jazz realm, goes so much farther, expanding into hip hop (something he's clearly shown an affinity for before in the 2nd half of Double-Booked as well as his work with Pete Rock and appreciation of the late great J Dilla, which I talked about back here, but unfortunately is no longer available), neo-soul, contemporary R&B, and even a dash of rock here and there.
For "Jazz" to remain a viable art form that grows and doesn't altogether disappear into musical history books, it needs more Glaspers in its pocket. Order your copy of Black Radio HERE.
Visit Robert Glasper's website, his label Blue Note Records, and become his friend on MySpace and Facebook.
i got something good for you babysweet lips to kiss you withtwo arms to hold youcome on and get it nowdon't hesitateyou don't have to negotiatei know you'll appreciatethe things i got for you babycome on and get it honey
Joe Simon - Come On and Get It : Come On and Get It 7"
Joe Simon - No Sad Songs : Come On and Get It 7" B-side
Find them both on the compilation Monument of Soul.
What percentage of your client's equities do you sell if the 200-day is breached?
There is no specific answer. Part of the process as mentioned in past posts is having an understanding of market history and combining that with what appears to be going on now to hopefully make a forward looking analysis.
The stock market cycle and economic cycle are both somewhat long in the tooth but there is a relatively low probability of the market cutting half because it did so quite recently. Late 2007 and early 2008 was a little easier than now because the yield curve was inverted and the 2% rule was in play (2% decline three months in a row is a good indication that a bear market has started and the market doesn't drop 2% three months in a row very often). The current decline is a little over a month old which makes it more of a fast decline for now than a slow rolling over.
The 200 DMA is only 17 points away but the moving average is still sloping upwards ever so slightly. That is not a reason to change strategy but to be a little less aggressive. A couple of years ago the SPX danced around the 200 DMA without ever really going down a lot and that was as the moving average was sloping upwards.
If the 200 DMA slopes down and the 2% rule comes into play then our defensive action will be more aggressive, if those things do not come into play then we would be a little less aggressive in taking defensive action.
I have been very consistent over the years in saying the discipline is in taking action upon a breach but that the action taken does vary depending on the situation. Being aggressive early in the financial crisis helped returns (this was all blogged as we went along) but a couple of summers ago the defensive action was drag. It was fortunate that we were not more aggressive then as the drag would have been bigger.
To contact us Click HERE
Some of you may know about a fire near Prescott called the Gladiator Fire. It started last Sunday as a structure fire that got into the forest. This fire is now close enough to Walker that we need start preparing to evacuate and as fire chief I am obviously in the middle of this. My phone has been blowing up, I am in contact with a lot of people, attending a lot of meetings and managing a lot of different things.
For the first week, the fire burned up a lot of empty USFS land but as it moves closer to Walker and Potato Patch (just south of Walker) there are now a lot structures at risk (only four have burned so far) which makes Walker the center of attention unless they can stop the fire in its tracks. It is about six or seven miles from top to bottom of the fire and the head of the fire is about 8 miles from Walker as of Saturday night.
The neat part of this is all there is to be learned and of course the downside is the threat to the community. Long story short, it is not probable that the fire gets all the way here but it is possible.
On Saturday Joellyn and I prepared to evacuate. We packed up a lot of clothes and a lot of stuff and took it to a friend's house in Prescott Valley. We actually don't have a lot of either but if there is a worst case outcome we won't have to start from scratch. There won't be much to take other than the dogs so no last minute scramble. Long time readers may notice similarities with things I've written over the years about navigating cycles with an investment portfolio.
One thing we did not take out of the house was any of our books. It's not like we have 1000 books or anything but in looking at them and deciding not necessary I thought about the story of Umberto Eco, as told in the Black Swan, who said something like it is not important what books you have read, but the books that you haven't read that are important.
This will be a very busy week around here. We should know whether we need to evacuate or not by mid-week (they will have either succeeded or failed at stopping the fire by then) but through the magic of spreadsheets we will be able to start defensive action on time if necessary.
For now Walker Fire's role is phone calls and meetings. If the fire gets here then we should be integrating with the outside crews that come through and stay for as long as it is safe or the incident ends.
Of course any of the above is subject to change at anytime.
The picture is from the Incident Command Post (ICP) at Mayer High School on Saturday morning.
To contact us Click HERE The price of Facebook (FB) stock is well below the $38.00 offering price in the pre-market unofficially making it a goat rodeo. Apparently syndicate bids aren't what they used to be.
Facebook is clearly a life improving service for people interested in catching up with people they lost touch with decades ago, it is a game changer for things like non-profits to create awareness and even for large businesses.
Just as the internet exceeded the hype so too might Facebook be more than we thought but that does not have to mean the stock is a game changer. It might turn out to be, I don't know but this is part of a fad of recent social media names to IPO. Maybe someone can refresh my memory but I don't recall too many internet IPOs around the time Google (GOOG) IPO'd thus GOOG was not part of a fad.
Yesterday was a good day weather-wise at the Gladiator Fire which made for effective fire suppression but today the wind is due to increase and keep increasing for the next couple of days at least.
To contact us Click HERE
Actually I have no idea if the correction but it truly amazes when the market goes down for a stretch the extent to which pundits all pile on that it is going lower then the market has a day like yesterday and we hear about earnings growth and stronger economy.
However bad or good things were on Friday, it is no different after yesterday. This would again seem to be a good time to talk about remaining disciplined to whatever strategy was laid out before the market started selling off and when there was no emotion involved--if you even believe in a defensive strategy.
It is always worth repeating; when the market is doing well, everyone will tell you that of course the market goes down every so often but that is no problem. Then the market starts going down many of those same people will have a serious problem.
The market will have ups and downs and no one will get all of them right. But you can use a strategy that you have some reasonable basis to expect will work more often than not which combined with an adequate savings rate can give leave you with enough money when you need it.
Monday had calmer winds at the Gladiator Fire which is a positive but winds are expected to increase for the rest of the week. The work done on the fireline that is the most obvious threat to Walker has been fantastic but the concern would be if winds do pick up and launch embers out past the fireline such that it torches up and makes a run in our direction.
For now the work on our end remains going to meetings, putting out a lot of emails and answering a lot of phone calls. We are trying to discourage people from coming up here later in the week in case there is an evacuation notice issued at that time. Our best estimate is that the population doubles for the typical Memorial Day because of the holiday and the annual meetings in Walker and the adjoining community. For now an evacuation is absolutely possible but remains improbable. Lets hope that stays the case.
To contact us Click HERE
A reader left a link to a Yahoo video discussing the revelation that Morgan Stanley allegedly was going to cut earnings on Facebook (FB) and then gave that info to select clients. This comes on top of what has been a very loud failure of sorts of the actual offering.
The sell side of the industry has evolved a lot but is still rife with conflict. The action that Morgan Stanley supposedly took with this (and for that matter there are now questions as to what their position in the stock actually is) may or may not be illegal, I don't precisely know but as I said in the comments yesterday it is unethical if true. It is also not new behavior if it is true.
We seem to be in an era where this sort of thing can no longer be hidden as well as it used to be which a positive but it will still go on. This is not something I spend much time on as we've never tried to access an IPO and we don't do business with these types of firms. As we move forward with our ETF we will be doing business with several trading firms which creates the potential for "getting our face ripped off" but obviously we believe the firms we'll work with will treat us in an ethical fashion as there is a competitive element that doesn't necessarily exist when someone opens an account at a sell side brokerage firm.
As far as Facebook's stock, most people knew it came to market with a very high valuation. I tweeted that I wasn't sure how to value the stock (reason enough to stay away). Barry Ritholtz replied "earnings and revenues?" to which I said I did not think that would matter for some short period of time. Generically speaking a stock at 100 times revenue does not have to be an avoid but something will have to give. Walmart was very expensive for years and the thing that gave was the stock price didn't really go up but the earnings did.
A different outcome for Facebook could have the stock goes up a little and the earnings and revenue go up a lot or the IPO turns into a goatrodeo.
Fire related, I spent a chunk of yesterday with the structure protection division supe yesterday going over the map of our area and then taking him on a drive around to see what it actually looks like here. It is possible that the fire gets here but it is not probable. Hopefully the work done Tuesday will be helpful for any future incidents we might have. The wind on Tuesday did pick up as they predicted so I will find out at the Tuesday night planning meeting if there was any consequence to the increased winds--I have been attending the planning briefing every night which will continue for quite a while and I wrote this post Tuesday afternoon before the meeting.
To contact us Click HERE Air date: September 25, 2011.
Download
1. Elevator Through - The Pickup 2. Dream Friends - Allan's Birthday 3. ISBN - Winter Earth 4. Quaker Parents - Evil Deeds 5. CROSSS - Bones Brigade 6. Grand Trine - Here Comes The Night 7. Dog Day - Part Girl 8. The Burdocks - The Ghost Of MacDonald Bridge 9. The Burdocks - Werewolves 10. Seth Smith - Hi Firey 11. Husband and Knife - Career Suicide 12. Dog Day - Love Makes It Mad 13. Dog Day - Sleeping On Couches 14. Dog Day - Lydia 15. Dog Day - Oh Dead Life 16. Dog Day - Girlfriend
To contact us Click HERE Air date: October 2, 2011. Download 1. Bad Vibrations - Think About Life2. Slam Dunk - Bearcub3. Babysitter - Prime Of My Life4. Mt. Royal - I Was A Beast5. Total Control - Carpet Rash6. Dog Day - Positive7. Dog Day - Rome8. Dog Day - Judgment Day9. Dog Day - Dark Day10. Dog Day - Synastry11. Seth Smith - The Cape12. Seth Smith - Black Beauty13. Seth Smith - Transformer14. Dog Day - Belle15. Dog Day - I Wanna Mix
NASA in complete secrecy for a long time watching a very interesting, amazing phenomenon, the phenomenon for which we ordinary mortals do not laugh, and we need to know anything. Phenomenon is called "Galactic Wave". An ordinary person knows little about this phenomenon, although it will greatly affect just in every living creature that is on this planet. NASA believes that it is not wise to talk about this phenomenon, in order not to spread panic, because the ordinary man can not seem to stop this "Galactic Wave", and therefore better not to know about it. Also that ordinary people know about this phenomenon, there would no longer be able to be puppets in which individuals build their business empires. No more ordinary folk as looked at their differences, but he turned in a different direction. Because the galactic wave best not to mention it would have been able to destroy many of the world powers, also would like a house of cards collapsed many human customs, traditions, who would become meaningless. If you dear reader think that this is just loads of crap, read the text to the end, I think you would be able to impress. So this is quite an introduction, from now until the end of this post brings evidence that will reveal the concept of "galactic wave".
Galactic wave travels from the center of our galaxy and is slowly expanding as you throw a stone into water from a central place throws, water waves spread around. By a similar principle work and galactic waves. Wave moving from the center of the galaxy, according to some calculations, the wave of mega solar systems to come every 62 million years ago. Proof that something is coming continuously from the center of galaxies gave us Dr. Rosine Lallement. Her study deals with the so-called "space cloud" that travel through space among the stellar also these same "space cloud" pass through our solar system. Najm al Lallement found that just these "clouds" coming from the exact center of our galaxy. This is certainly evidence that soaring energy comes precisely from the center of our galaxy. The waves of energy traveling from the center of our galaxy, and slowly toward the outskirts. What does this mean for us humans? It's hard to say, we could speculate but turn to something much more important. Look at the facts that prove to be something big stores with our solar system.
Take a trip to our solar system and see what happens on the planet:
We start on Mercury, NASA's Messenger probe has recorded a stunning photographs, which reveal that Mercury raging violent magnetic storms, a large number of magnetic tornado incredible power. Most interesting of all, a statement which said that these storms extremely intensified in the last two years. James Slavin of NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, said: "We did not expect such strong storms. With the tremendous confidence we can say that the Mercury global warming took hold. This proves to be something going on Mercury, the planet started to change dramatically.
The second planet in our solar system Venus: in the last thirty years, Venus' brightness is increased by a whopping 2500%. So Venus is 2500% brighter, changing the atmosphere of Venus, the planet produces much more energy, warmer than it was thirty years ago. As the warmer means experiencing global warming. Unbelievable!
The fourth planet SS Mars: In the last thirty years there have been clouds on Mars, not great, but before it never happened. Rising temperatures on Mars, began to melt ice on the poles of the planet, it is nothing but a global warming of Mars.
At Jupiter disappear its characteristic egg-shaped white spots. Great expert in this field Dr. Phillip Marcus says it is because of global warming 18 degrees of Jupiter. Also appearing huge storm on Jupiter, much stronger than they ever were before. Jupiter's moons Io over the last thirty years to 1000% more shine. Moon Europa also recorded a large increase in its brightness. NASA was quite surprised at the change moon Europa.
Saturn ring becomes thicker. On Saturn's poles appear strange auroras, which had never been on pole. Said Dr. JT Trauger one of the top experts from NASA. He also noted the global warming of the planet and increase the heat, especially around Saturn's equator.
Uranium 1986th vol. a dull, featureless planet. Today on the planet, mega-huge storms that are clearly visible Hubble telescope, and as orange spots. But that's not all the planets around the south pole appears something like whiteish ring.
Neptune is almost the same story as well as Uranus. The planet is much more brilliant, some strange white rings appear at the poles, which had never been on Uranus and Neptune. All this clearly indicates a major change of these two planets.
Also, Pluto, although it was relegated to the level of dwarf planet is experiencing tremendous changes, but I published a post earlier that says Pluto changes color. Photos, released by NASA show that Pluto is much redder than it was last several decades. Layman Pluto looks yellow-orange, but astronomers say that 20% redder than it was before.
Let's finish this trip on our Earth. On a planet of great changes are happening that are clearly visible. Global warming is also present as well as all the planets of the solar system. Melting the ice at the poles, sea level is dramatically increased. Strongly increased seismic activity on the planet, volcanic activity increases, the temperature is raised. Mega storms, hurricanes, typhoons, tornadoes, all this has dramatically increased. Heats up the bottom of the Pacific Ocean. This clearly indicates warming core of Earth.
So this is evidence that the solar system, dramatic changes occur. Consider what it might mean for people on this planet. Because it is difficult to believe that these interplanetary changes have an impact only on increasing the brightness of planets, the planets, the temperature increase or change in magnetic properties of the planet. I think that these changes have a major impact on all living beings on this planet, here is the first evidence of my claims. The increase in the planet's temperature will definitely speed up the vibrations of molecules (all molecules vibrate, heat speeds up the process). To prove that this is already happening, and that the increase in temperature has an effect on people. In the last 100 years, has proven conclusively that the planet's temperature rises. Parallel with this fact, in the last 100 years of human development is a huge swing. People are in the last hundred years more advanced than ever before. Coincidence or cold, hard facts? Think about the answer to this question ...
So we have evidence that the whole solar system is undergoing dramatic changes, in my opinion we have evidence that these changes are already greatly affect our human population, but let's get back to that which we discussed earlier. Galactic wave no longer looks like an imaginary phenomenon, on the contrary gets look very realistic appearance, the appearance of which we know very little. Print Page
To contact us Click HERE
Antibiotics, one of the world’s greatest medical discoveries, are slowly losing their effectiveness in fighting bacterial infections and the massive use of the drugs in food animals may be the biggest culprit. The growing threat of antibiotic resistance is largely due to the misuse and overuse of antibiotics in both people and animals, which leads to an increase in “super-bacteria”. However, people use a much smaller portion of antibiotics sold in this country compared to the amount set aside for food animals. In fact, according to new data just released by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), of the antibiotics sold in 2009 for both people and food animals almost 80% were reserved for livestock and poultry. A huge portion of those antibiotics were never intended to fight bacterial infections, rather producers most likely administered them in continuous low-dosages through feed or water to increase the speed at which their animals grew. And that has many public health experts and scientists troubled.
For years scientists concerned about the threat of antibiotic resistant bacteria in food animal production have been trying to figure out just how much antibiotics producers are using each year. The best they could do was come up with rough estimates. That is because the data was never publicly available, until now.
In accordance with a 2008 amendment to the Animal Drug User Fee Act, for the first time the FDA released last week an annual amount of antimicrobial drugs sold and distributed for use in food animals. The grand total for 2009 is 13.1 million kilograms or 28.8 million pounds. I found the stories covering this revelation interesting, but they did not convey the whole picture. It is important to understand how this amount compares to the total available for people. So, I decided to find out for myself and contacted the FDA for an estimate of the volume of antibiotics sold for human use in 2009. This is what a spokesperson told me:
“Our Office of Surveillance and Epidemiology just finished an analysis based on IMS Health data. Sales data in kilograms sold for selected antibacterial drugs were obtained as a surrogate of human antibacterial drug use in the U.S. market. Approximately 3.3 million kilograms of antibacterial drugs were sold in year 2009. OSE states that all data in this analysis have been cleared for public use by IMS Health, IMS National Sales Perspectives™.”
3.3 million kilograms is a little over 7 million pounds. As far as I can determine, this is the first time the FDA has made data on estimates of human usage public. Below is a breakdown of the FDA numbers prepared by my colleague, Dr. David Love, also from the Johns Hopkins Center for a Livable Future, which compares the estimated amounts of human usage with food animal usage.
Take a look at the data for tetracycline. More than 10 million pounds of the antibiotic were sold for the use in food animals. That’s more than all of the antibiotics combined set aside for humans in 2009. Many studies suggest the high use of tetracycline in food animals, particularly in pigs, has lead to the increased rates of bacterial resistance to the antibiotic, such as Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus or MRSA.
Despite this new information, the hog industry denies the suggestion that it is overusing antibiotics. In response to the FDA’s report, the National Pork Producers Council also pointed out to Food Safety News’ Helena Bottemiller that, “ionophores … are not used in human medicine, they don’t have anything to do with the effectiveness of antibiotics in people.” That statement is inaccurate. All uses of antibiotics have the potential to decrease the effectiveness of antibiotics in people. Ionophores are no exception. While several industry funded studies determined that ionophore use in animals is “not likely” to transfer resistance from animals to people, researchers couldn’t come to a definitive conclusion because ionophores can lead to bacterial resistance to the antibiotic bacitracin, which is commonly used to treat skin and eye infections.
Every time an antibiotic is used there is a risk of adding to the growing pool of antibiotic resistance. LivableFutureBlog readers might recall an October blog post in which Dr. Ellen Silbergeld, professor of environmental health sciences at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, warned that, “Bacteria respond to chemical structures, not brand names, and resistance to one member of a pharmaceutical class results in cross resistance to all other members of the same class.” Silbergeld says when bacteria develop resistance to one member of that class of antibiotics it can be resistant to all.
So, what is the government doing to ensure we don’t squander the effectiveness of antibiotics for human use on the production of food animals? Since President Barack Obama took office, the FDA says it has taken several steps. Dr. Joshua Sharfstein, Principal Deputy Commissioner of the FDA, took a stand last year by stating that the Administration, “supports ending the use of antibiotics for growth and feed efficiency” in food animals. However, instead of requiring industry take action, the FDA released a draft-guidance last June that essentially asks industry to voluntarily end the use of antibiotics as growth promoters in food animals and include veterinary oversight or consultation on all antibiotic use.
Lawmakers such as Congresswoman Louise Slaughter and Senator Barbara Boxer have been introducing versions of the Preservation of Antibiotics for Medical Treatment Act (PAMTA) for more than a decade that would mandate antibiotic use changes in food animals. Earlier this year it looked like the bill had a good chance of passing, but the bill failed to make it to the floor of the House or Senate. While not perfect, PAMTA would ban the use of medically important antibiotics as growth promoters. Passage of PAMTA would be an important step in saving the potency of antibiotics for human use. However, the current version of the bill could be stronger if it followed more closely the recommendations from the Pew Commission on Industrial Farm Animal Production final report, which calls for a ban on the non-therapeutic use of all antibiotics, not just those considered medically important, in food animals.
Now that we officially know that food animals use an overwhelming majority of our antibiotics, I hope it is more clear to everyone that legislation limiting the overuse and misuse of antibiotics in livestock and poultry must be passed. The next battle, which industry has already begun, is defining what non-therapeutic use will constitute. Producers are already claiming that the use of antibiotics for growth promotion has decreased, maintaining current low-dose usage is aimed at disease prevention. Regardless, all low-dose usage of antibiotics can lead to a significant increase in antibiotic resistance. As Dr. Alexander Fleming, the discoverer of penicillin warned, “It is not difficult to make microbes resistant to penicillin in the laboratory by exposing them to concentrations not sufficient to kill them, and the same thing has occasionally happened in the body.” Print Page
To contact us Click HERE Author and scientist Amory B. Lovins and the Rocky Mountain Institute see a bright future beyond dirty fuels... and sooner than you think
In an essay in the latest issue of Foreign Affairs and a recent interview with Yale Environment 360, Amory Lovins discusses his latest book, Reinventing Fire, written with his colleagues at the Rocking Mountain Institute, which looks at what a transition away from an economy and energy system based on fossil fuels towards one based on renewable energy would look like.
Amory B. Lovins of the Rocky Mountain Institute
"Weaning the United States from fossils fuels would require two big shifts," writes Lovins at Foreign Affairs, naming "oil and electricity" which he says are "distinct." He points out, "In the US, three-fourths of electricity powers building, three-fourths of oil fuels transportation, and the remaining oil and electricity run factories. So saving oil and electricity is chiefly about making buildings, vehicles, and factories far more efficient." This, admits Lovins, is "no small task."
Dwelling on the scale of the challenge, however, is not where Lovins devotes his energy. Instead, he looks at other "epochal energy shifts" that have occurred in history, like the end of the whale oil industry in the mid 19th century, where in just thirty years the whale oil industry went from bringing lighting to nearly every American household in 1850, to being essentially snuffed out by 1879, when Edison's electric lighting hit the scene. "Whales," writes Lovins, "had been accidently saved by technological innovators and profit-maximizing capitalists."
The point, of course, is not that we should look to 'profit-maximizing capitalists' to lead us to a clean energy future (though they will certainly play a role). The point is that we should definitely not expect whaling captains to lead us. And in this era, the whale ship captains are the captains of the big oil, coal, and gas companies and the politicians who do their bidding.
"The chief obstacle is not technology or economics," concludes Lovins, "but slow adoption." He writes: Helping innovations catch on will take education, leadership, and rapid learning. But it does require reaching concensus on motives. If Americans agree what should be done, then they need not agree why. Whether one cares most about national security, health, the environment, or simply making money, saving and supplanting fossil fuels makes sense."
"Wise energy policy can grow from impeccably conservative roots-- [...]
Moving the United States off oil and coal will require Americans to trust in their own resourcefulness, ingenuity, and courage. These durable virtues can give the country fuel without fear; help set the world on a path beyond war, want, or waste; and turn energy from worrisome to worry-free, from risk to reward, from cost to profit."
A Clean Energy Plan
In the interview with Yale Environment 360 senior editor Fen Montaigne, Lovins discusses how business and society can pull off this transformation even if the U.S. Congress keeps failing to act, why climate change need not even enter the discussion, and why the oil industry will ultimately forego fossil fuels and jump aboard the green bandwagon. “One system is dying and others are struggling to be born,” says Lovins. “It’s a very exciting time.”
Yale Environment 360: Given that we’re in the midst of what could only be described as a fossil fuel boom, with the discovery of new unconventional sources and new oil sources being found all over the world, how do you speed this transition and get from here to there?
Amory Lovins: Well, I’m not sure what boom you’re talking about. When I read the Wall Street Journal, I see a headline a few weeks ago about coal running out of steam.
e360: China is consuming tremendous amounts of coal.
Lovins: Hang on — I look at the data and I find that in the United States, coal’s share of the electrical services market, which is 95 percent of its market for fuel, has fallen by a quarter from 2005 through 2010, displaced by cheaper gas, efficiency, and renewables. And then when you look in the forward prices and the options market, that spread is going to keep widening. And when I hear how cheap natural gas is, I remember that it’s also very volatile. This has nothing to do with the many uncertainties around fracking, which will take a decade to resolve — if they work out well, we’ll be satisfied with a new option; if they don’t, that’s okay because we won’t need that much gas, so we won’t be very disappointed.
e360: Certainly in China, India, and the developing world there is a fossil fuel boom going on.
Lovins: But in a global context, there is a remarkable boom in efficiency and renewables in China, the world leader in five renewables. Part of the story in China is that the extraordinary vitality of renewables is coming very largely from the vibrant private sector, while all of the nuclear and half the coal business are the old state enterprises. So the story of incumbents and insurgents is partly the story of the reshaping of the Chinese economy from the old and rather bureaucratic command organizations. That is, I think, an encouraging trend.
We must use our most effective institutions to end-run our least effective institutions.
Last I looked a couple of years ago, the private sector in China was something like 50 to 70 percent of the profits, the growth, and the new jobs. Of course there is still a lot of momentum in the coal bureaucracy in China and India, which together burned half the world’s coal and account for about three-quarters of the projected increase, but I think those projections are looking quite dubious. In China, for example, they have lately retired over 70 gigawatts of inefficient coal plants, so that their coal plant fleet is now more efficient than ours. In 2010, 59 percent of their net new [electricity] capacity was coal. It used to be much higher.
e360: You feel we’re in a period where fossil fuels over the next decade or two are going to be increasingly like whale oil?
Lovins: Yes.
e360: You’ve got the president of Shell writing a foreward to your book. There are prominent quotes from the president of Texaco in one section of the book. How do you persuade these oil companies that are making billions of dollars now and into the foreseeable future to get on board with this renewable energy revolution? What is going to persuade them to be on what you see as the right side of history?
Lovins: Mainly risk management, and as a member of the National Petroleum Council, having worked in this industry for 38 years, I’ve seen a lot of concern about risk. Oil is like airlines. It’s a great industry and a bad business. Look at its fundamentals. It is extremely capital-intensive, long lead time, based on a wasting asset of which you only own about 6 percent and the rest can be taxed away or confiscated at any time. It is a business overflowing with all kinds of risk — technical, political, financial. It is unpopular politically. Its subsidies are at some political risk in this country. Put all that together and you have a magnificent recipe for headaches. Why would you want to be in a business like that?
e360: You’re making huge profits at this point.
Lovins: Well, sometimes yes, and sometimes it gushes red ink. So the smarter leaders in that industry have been trying to get out of the business since at least 1973, and have constructed some pretty intelligent portfolios of both activities and options that are getting rather rapidly diversified. Some companies that were not very foresighted, even though they were operationally excellent, are starting to smell the coffee.
I think there is a bright future for what we now think of as the oil industry in the new energy era, using its formidable capabilities and assets, but in different ways. A lot of refineries will turn into biorefineries; a lot of drilling will go to geothermal, possibly carbon sequestration and other pursuits. The fuel logistics will diversify into hydrogen — which of course is mainly a business of the oil industry right now and it’s a very big business — and into electricity and biofuels. Shell is already the world’s biggest distributor of biofuels. The average cost of getting our U.S. transport system off oil is about $18 a barrel for the efficiency and electrification part, or if you include the biofuels to run the trucks and airplanes to the extent they’re not on hydrogen, it might be at most about $25 a barrel. So I don’t much care what the world oil price is, this is a better bet and it very much better manages the risks.
e360: In the spheres that you write about — transportation, electricity generation, industry — what pieces of the puzzle need to be put in place in the coming decade or so to do this massive scaling up that’s going to be required to attain your vision of an economy that by 2050 is primarily powered by renewable sources?
Lovins: Broadly we need to pay attention to allow or require full and fair competition, preferably at honest prices. And to use our most effective institutions to end-run our least effective institutions.
e360: For example?
Lovins: Well, we use private enterprise, co-evolving with civil society and sped up by military innovation, to end run Congress. The transition we describe requires no act of Congress. It’s led by business for profit.
e360: So you want the private sector to end-run the dysfunctional political system?
Lovins: At the federal level, yes. There are policies required to unlock or speed the transition we described, but they could all be done administratively or at the state level, where most of the action is.
e360: From a technological point of view, how do you scale up wind and solar to the point where it can be generating the volume of electricity that you envision by 2050?
Lovins: The way we’re scaling it up now. U.S. photovoltaics have doubled each of the last two years. World [photovoltaic] growth last year — a difficult year for many industries — was 70 percent. And 68 percent of Europe’s new capacity last year was solar and wind. Wind, for example, is generally competitive without subsidy, even though the global wind industry will of course shift its projects in a given year to wherever they get the most subsidy, as you would expect. But even without subsidy they have a very strong business case.
e360: So you foresee in the U.S., Europe, and China a steady accretion of this scale and volume for these new sources?
Lovins: Yes, and China is leading the plummeting cost and rocketing volume of most of the renewables. They’re the world leader in five. They aim to be in all. The ones they lead are photovoltaic, wind, small hydro, biogas, and solar thermal for hot water.
So this is actually quite a big business. Clean energy was a $260 billion investment flow in 2011. Europe has now more than one million new renewable jobs. The big winner is Germany. They have more solar workers than America has steel workers. [German Chancellor Angela] Merkel bet that it would be smarter to send their energy money to their own engineers, manufacturers, and installers than to keep paying it to [Russia’s] Gazprom. She’s right, and it was a winning bet.
e360: In your book you are not counting on any sort of miraculous silver bullet technologies.
Lovins: No, no new inventions.
e360: But do you think there will be within a matter of decades technologies we can’t envision that could even further accelerate this transition?
Lovins: Oh, yes. I think there will be many, and actually although we’re not counting on any new inventions, we do give examples of emerging technologies in the lab about to get to market that are going to be quite powerful. For example, windows whose ability to transmit or block heat is a function of the temperature of the glass, and that’s a passive property. It doesn’t require any control system. That sort of thing is so revolutionary we haven’t even figured out how to use it yet. Or as another example, Tsutomu Shimomura, the computer security expert, has invented a way of controlling LED lighting in big buildings that gets rid of almost all of the wire and power supplies and controls, but gives superior control flexibility. And that should ultimately cut by manyfold the installed cost of those LED lighting systems and thus help them take over even faster in both new and old buildings. Fuel cells have already beaten the cost targets that we had expected. The list goes on.
Despite our woeful underinvestment in efficiency R&D, the technical progress here and abroad continues to accelerate with no end in sight and it’s not just in widgets. It’s also progress in new business models, new designs, ways of combining technologies more effectively to get expanding returns, not diminishing returns, new delivery channels that are rapidly maturing, new regulatory models. These things all together I think have put us irreversibly on the path to a new energy era, and a lot of it is an incumbents-versus-insurgents play where the incumbents have many intelligent ways they can respond and some dumb ways, one of which is called ostrich.
e360: Your book, in each of the main chapters, lays out detailed prescriptions — down to diagrams of factory piping — of how to improve efficiency and make advances. What has the reaction been to the book from corporations, from politicians?
Lovins: The reaction I have seen has been uniformly favorable, partly because it’s a trans-ideological approach that focuses on outcomes, not motives. Whether you most care about profits, jobs, and competitive advantage, or about national security or environmental stewardship and climate and public health — regardless of the reason, you’ll still want the outcomes. They’ll still make sense and make money, so let’s just do what we all agree ought to be done for whatever reason, not argue about what reason is most important, and then a lot of the stuff we may not agree about becomes superfluous. The military is very strongly on this track already — with both efficiency and resilient electric supply — for their own good reasons. We are not seeing so far political resistance to these ideas and we’re getting a very warm welcome in the business community.
e360: How big an impediment to your vision of how to go forward is the fact that many of the leaders of the Republican Party not only deny the existence of climate change, but belittle renewable energy. Is the political gridlock on this issue a big impediment to maybe moving forward?
Lovins: I don’t see it as a big impediment because we’re not relying on Congress to do anything. Again, you don’t have to believe climate science to think that the outcomes of Reinventing Fire are desirable. If you care about either making money or national security, either of those suffices; you may even care about both together. Then you’re twice as motivated. We are counting in the analysis all externalities — carbon [reduction] and otherwise — as worth zero, a conservatively low estimate. And we still get a $5 trillion surplus from getting the U.S. completely off oil, coal, and nuclear energy and a third off natural gas by 2050, with a 2.6-fold bigger economy. That, I think, is an attractive outcome regardless of your political beliefs.
e360: Let’s say there’s a President Santorum or a President Romney, do you think that they could be persuaded once they’re in office to embrace a vision like this?
Lovins: I don’t know, but I don’t much care. Rocky Mountain Institute is non-partisan, and we observe that most states, including many strongly Republican states, have renewable portfolio standards. The renewable leader in the nation is Texas, which is not noted for being environmentally minded, but does care a lot about making money and is very good at it. That’s fine.
e360: On the issue of climate change, do you believe the climate movement has made a strategic error by focusing so much on the issue of warming and its impacts rather than on the positive economic message you propagate in the book?
Lovins: I think you could make that case. In fact, to go back to the beginning of the modern climate debate, I think that when the bogus studies were issued claiming that climate protection would be very costly, the environmental movement fell into a trap of saying it won’t cost that much and it’s worth it. What they should have said is, “No, you’ve got it wrong. Climate protection is not costly but profitable because it’s cheaper to save fuel than to buy fuel.”
So the whole climate conversation has been distorted by this error of mistaking cost for profits and that has blocked international negotiations, because it’s so much harder to talk about cost burden and sacrifice, what is it worth to save the climate and who should pay for it, than to talk about profits, jobs, and competitive advantage, which should have been the subject all along. I think you could make that case. In fact, to go back to the beginning of the modern climate debate, I think that when the bogus studies were issued claiming that climate protection would be very costly, the environmental movement fell into a trap of saying it won’t cost that much and it’s worth it. What they should have said is, “No, you’ve got it wrong. Climate protection is not costly but profitable because it’s cheaper to save fuel than to buy fuel.”
So the whole climate conversation has been distorted by this error of mistaking cost for profits and that has blocked international negotiations, because it’s so much harder to talk about cost burden and sacrifice, what is it worth to save the climate and who should pay for it, than to talk about profits, jobs, and competitive advantage, which should have been the subject all along.
e360: When you look at your 2050 vision, yet you also look at all the carbon that’s still being burned, how do you reconcile the two?
Lovins: Well, one system is dying and others are struggling to be born. It’s a very exciting time, but I think the transitions that we need in how we design vehicles, buildings, and factories, and how we allow efficiency to compete with supply, are well under way. Most of the key sectors are already at or past their tipping point. And it’s clearest for oil, but will become clearer for coal that the stuff is becoming uncompetitive even at relatively low prices before it becomes unavailable even at high prices. It’s the whale oil story all over again. They ran out of customers before they ran out of whales.
Video
Amory Lovins at the Yale School of Forestry & Environmental Studies
To contact us Click HERE
User-agent: Mediapartners-Google Disallow:
The sun is a huge electromagnetic transmitter that is flooding the planet of the solar system by heat, light, UV radiation and electrically charged particles. The Sun itself has a magnetic field and magnetic field creates an "egg" around the solar system known as heliosphere. Heliosphere is shaped like a droplet, with an elongated, narrow end pointing in the opposite direction in which we move.
Any change that occurs in or on the Sun will eventually affect every living person. Solar activity during this last sunspot cycle was the solar is greater than anything previously seen, spinal studies, written by Dr. Mike Lockvvood and colleagues at the Rutherford Appleton Laboratory in Chilton, UK, 1999. investigate the solar activity over the last 100 years. They reported that since 1901. total solar magnetic field has become stronger by 230 percent. Scientists do not understand what it means for us.
Some of the sunspot activity in this last cycle was stronger than anything ever recorded. But researchers say do not understand what it means for us. Apparently, the sun ie earth's driving force, said Richard Fisher Director of helio physics at NASA. To mitigate possible threats to public safety, it is crucial to better understand the extreme space weather events caused by solar activity.
Solar cycle 24
According to NASA, the Sun begins another 11-year cycle of activity. The sun reverses its magnetic poles every a year. Given that the Sun is responsible for some adverse climate changes on Earth the next decade could bring more trouble for our planet. The years ahead could be tumultuous. Jimmy Raeder explained:
"We enter the 24th solar cycle 1z reasons not fully understood, CME and the even-numbered solar cycles (such as 24) are usually hit Earth with a leading edge that is magnetized north. CMF This should open a crack and fill the magnetosphere with plasma just before the storm. This is a perfect sequence for a really great event. "
Every 10-11 years the number of sunspots is our closest star rise from zero (as it was in 2008.) To a maximum of over four hundred. While the sunspots affect the Earth, solar flares and other disturbances that are spreading around our sun during increased sunspot activity lead to an increase in the number of particles (electrons and protons) and harmful light radiation (ultraviolet and X-rays), known as solar wind. Yes No Earth's protective magnetic field and atmosphere, this bombardment of particles would completely burn us. Sunspot Cycle 24, which is expected to peak somewhere in the 2012th, it could be one of the strongest in the last few centuries.
It will be 30-50 percent stronger than last and will start with a delay of a full year, the revolutionary foresight that uses a computer model of solar dynamics developed by scientists who are from the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). Accurate prediction of solar cycles years in advance will help the company to prepare for active gust of solar storms, which can slow satellite orbits, disrupt communications and bring down power systems. Scientists have confidence in the forecasts because of a series of tests recently developed model simulated the strength of the last eight cycles with an accuracy of over 98 percent. Forecasts are generated in part by monitoring the movement of debris below the surface of sunspots from the previous two solar cycles.
Solar cycle 25
"The great conveyor belt" is a huge circulating current of fire (hot plasma) within the Sun. There are two branches, north and south, and each takes about 10 years to pass a full circle. The researchers believe that turning the conveyor belt controls the sunspot cycle and therefore it is important to slow down.
Usually, the conveyor belt moving at a speed of about one meter per second speed walk, NASA said in Solana physicist David Hathaway. "That was the end of the 19th century, "In recent years, however, the belt has decelerated to 0.75 m / s in the north of 0.35 m / s in the south. "We have never seen so low, said Hathaway."
According to the theory and observation, the speed of the belt says it will be the intensity of sunspot activity about 20 years in the future. Slow belt means lower solar activity; fast belt means stronger activity.
"The slowdown that we see now means that Solar Cycle 25, which will be the culmination of about 2022nd year could be one of the weakest in the last century, said Hathaway.
The solar activity on the Earth
The first instrument for measuring the activity of solar flares have occurred 440 years ago. They showed that the closest star to our Earth is not only the honor of eclipses. Sunspots, solar flares and other phenomena affect everything on earth, from weather events to human behavior. These phenomena are known collectively as the solar activity. This activity, which is expressed by a gust of solar radiation, magnetic storms and fiery flashes, the intensity can vary from very weak to very strong. The greatest threat to civilization are the storms.
On 28 August 1859th polar light shone and sparkled over the entire American continent, when darkness fell. Many people thought that their city is in flames. The hands on the instruments that were used for recording Uh magnetic fluctuations around the world came out of the scale. Telegraph system broke down, hit by strong surges. It was perhaps the worst solar storms in the past, 200 years ago. Its effects on humans were small because civilization had not yet been entered into high-technology development phase. But with the advent of modern electricity grids and satellites is much more in danger.
That something similar happened in our era of space nuclear destruction would be catastrophic. According to scientific data, a storm of this size occur about once in five centuries. But half of low-intensity events occur every 50 years. The last recorded 13th November 1960 .. Disrupted the Earth's magnetic field, disrupting the work stations.
Today is our dependence on radio-electronic devices so huge that increased solar activity could be disabled for life support systems around the world, and not just on the surface. Bad space weather can cause disturbances in any orbital system, light solar storm can ruin navigation systems controlled from space. NASA is now ringing the alarm because the North American continent near the northern magnetic pole, and is most sensitive to solar activity, spinal studies corporation "Metatech" revealed that the attack similar to the one from 1859. disable the entire power grid in North America. Even the relatively weak magnetic storm of 1989. encourage solar activity caused the accident in a Canadian hydroelectric power plant that is six million people in the United States and Canada for nine hours left without electricity.
Study of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, also spoke about the troubling features of the Earth in the worst case scenario of solar storms. Modern power grids are so interconnected that the large space storms - type such as expected to occur once in a century could trigger a cascade of crashes that could be expanded throughout the United States, left without electricity for 130 million people or more only in that country, the conclusion a new report. Such widespread power cuts although, as expected, a rare ability to hit other vital systems.
"The impact would be felt on the interdependent infrastructures, for example, drinking water supply would be affected for several hours, quickly perishable foods and medicines for about 12-24 hours. and the current or subsequent loss of heating / air conditioning, garbage disposal, telephone service, transportation, fuel supply and clock on, "the report reads.
To fix the system could be taken months, the bank could be close, and trade with other countries could be interrupted.
"Emergency services would be overloaded, and command and control could be lost," say researchers led by Daniel Baker, director of the Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, University of Colorado at Boulder.
Sun's cycles and human behavior
Could cycles of war and peace could be associated with the solar cycle?
Some researchers claim that geomagnetic storms affect brain waves and hormone levels, causing many different reactions, mainly in men. Although some women may also feel the changes during these storms, it seems that they are generally less affected by the behavior of the Sun. Reacting to changing hormone levels, some men may become increasingly irritable and aggressive, while others may instead become more creative.
It was found that an increase in solar activity increase psychotic episodes in people who already suffer from unstable psychological states. Although we may associate such behavior with a full moon, Dr. Robert Becker and his colleague Dr. Howard Friedman 1963rd demonstrated that changes in the sun and water to a noticeable increase in psychotic activity. Yet, these reactions do not occur only in a few particularly sensitive or unlucky individuals.
Evidence suggesting that the wars and international conflicts often break out when sunspots are rapidly forming or rapidly decaying, because in these conditions occur more intense geomagnetic storms. In addition. to an increase in solar activity are correlated with periods when the increased number of accidents and diseases, as well as crimes and murders. The entire biosphere is affected by this electromagnetic pollution, and it seems that human behavior responds accordingly. Not cause any geomagnetic storm disturbances. But over time, extremes of solar activity can also affect the period of earthly conflict. Data on cycles of war and peace extend to at least 2,500 years old.
Another 1915th some scientists have begun to recognize the connection between solar activity and human behavior. This work began with Russian scientist Alevander Chizhevsky who observed a correlation between mass changes in human behavior and the cycle of sunspots.
The thirties of last century, Professor Raymond Wheeler, a historian at the University n Kansas, took this observation one step further. His research numerically ranked severity of individual battles correlating to solar cycles. The information obtained by statistically analyzing Edward Dewey, who confirmed the existence of these cycles of wars. However, he was unable to establish a clear link with the cycle of sunspots, because at that time was insufficient data. The 1980s, with a detailed analysis Wheeler's data, is the connection became clear.
After a more detailed study of the data seems to begin to discover the pattern by which IE most likely to start a war in the key points of the sunspot cycle. These are periods when geomagnetic activity is changing the fastest in the rapid increase in solar activity, or in a downward cycle, when sunspots are rapidly diminishing. In addition, we can see how it negatively affects the psychological mechanisms such as brain rhythms and hormone levels. In other words, wars could be a kind of mass psychosis. When you see the connection with physical mechanisms (such as IE electromagnetic pollution), it gives us some predictions about when it is likely that they could begin intensified aggression. Calculations show that we are facing another increase of intense solar activity in less than two years, roughly around 22 September 2010. NASA predicts that the activity reached a peak in 2012. year.
Changes in the Solar System
Five planets atmosphere and Earth's moon change. In the upper layers of Earth's atmosphere creates HO gas that did not exist in amounts that exists today. Scientists from the Russian Academy of Sciences say that it is not associated with global warming, CFCs or fluorocarbon emissions. They argue that the atmosphere of Jupiter, Uranus and Neptun also changing.
The Martian atmosphere becomes much thicker. In 1997. probe "Mars Observer" has lost one of its mirrors, which caused her fall. This happened because the atmosphere was about twice as much too dense, but NASA was calculated. Brightness and magnetic fields of planets are also changing. Venus shows a significant increase in its overall brightness, Jupiter's energetic charge has risen so high that there is now a visible tube of ionizing radiation, which is formed between the surface of Jupiter and its moon "Io." At the recently captured images can be seen a great power tube. Uranus and Neptune also are becoming brighter. The magnetic field of Jupiter, Uranus and Neptune are changing.
Jupiter's magnetic field has more than doubled, and Neptune's magnetic field is stronger. The Russians say that all three of these planets become radiant, and their atmospheric qualities are changing, but do not explain what that means. The Russians also report that looks at how Uranus and Neptune has recently been a reversal of the poles. When the space probe "Voyager II" flew by Uranus and Neptune, it seemed that the north and south magnetic poles substantially deviated from the spot where the earlier recordings was a half rotation. In one case, it is 50 degrees, and in another case, the difference was 10-odd degrees.
This new information on changes in the solar system comes at an interesting time for our planet. It is possible that for some time the celestial events play a role in shaping our lives on this planet, and that these changes that we see now in our sun, solar system and Earth's magnetic field could be just what transforms our world as we know it into something new . Only time will tell, but it seems that the future is already knocking at the door.
To contact us Click HERE What is Planet X - Elena - Nibiru?
Celestial body, the great mass of the hydrogen atom is, which will pass between Earth and sun, and when the 26th September 2011. come into alignment position / conjunction, it is certain planetary axis shift of 90 degrees! Stop the Earth's rotation, the days of darkness, movement of geologic plates, universal flood, mega earthquakes, hurricane winds, the firestorm ... Gone is the world we know.
What happens?
Planet X or comet Elena, that is officially appointed, or Nibiru, as it was called The ancient Sumerians, the planet of our solar system whose existence was not publicly announced. Elongated, elliptical orbit that every 3657 years touring around our sun. On his way to the inner part of the solar system for years to many changes on Earth, which marks its passage and the possible consequences. Under the influence of heat to the entire planet, solar system, not just Earth. It seems that this is a very large body, maybe so. brown dwarf, shrouded in mist, which travels the red dirt, stones and three months (?) like a small constellation.
Planet X is a strong magnet, that when the critical position of the alignment between the sun and Earth - and, this conjunction will be joined by Mercury, Saturn and Uranus - will be his strong embrace so tightly cover the Earth to wake up all the natural forces which it sleep, and to the extent that it is not possible to imagine ... If the speculation on the basis of which are amateurs, and professionals, people around the world connected to the Internet, have brought these conclusions (there is no confirmed information is to be expected), then give us a few weeks following the beginning of the worst possible scenario ... Extinction Level Event, the event-level destruction ...
Key dates transit
The text ofmessage NASA which 10.6. o.g. staff declares a state of revised springs amateur astronomers, from the Internet
AU - stands for a measure distances in the cosmos, which is slightly less than 150 million miles, or roughly the size of the distance of Earth from the Sun
2010.
* 27.2. conjunction - an earthquake in Chile, 8.8 degrees Richer; 6042 AU away from Earth 4.9. conjunction with the sun and earth - an earthquake in New Zealand, Christchurch, 7.2 Richer; 6258 AU from the Earth
2011.
* 11.3. conjunction - an earthquake in Japan, 9 ° richer (even weeks-long series of strong earthquakes); 2101 AU from the Earth
* 27.6. crosses the orbit of Mars
Since the beginning of August to the end of October 2011. Planet X, which is a huge magnet, the intensive will affect the Earth's magnetic pole, and hence on the seismic, volcanic and atmospheric activity in the country. From September to November can be seen with the naked eye.
* 3.8. crosses the orbit of the Earth
* 15.8. comes very close to the equator of the Sun - Solar storms begin, strong electromagnetic radiation in the sky were two suns
* 18.8. crosses the path of Venus
In September, expected multiple solar storms for weeks - off satellites, the collapse of electronic equipment, communication, loss of electricity.
* 11.9. point of perihelion - Planet X is the closest to the Sun, only 44.73 million miles/55.9 million km
* 27.9. Day pass planets between the Sun and Earth - Another great conjunction, the closest alignment with the earth and the sun and Mercury, Saturn and Uranus! distance only 0381 AU from Earth - is expected to capture the gravity of Planet X Earth and vigorously shake it - moving the Earth's axis
This is the most dangerous day when you can expect to break the magnetic poles of the Earth - moving geological plates, ice and the sinking of the soil, long-term mega-earthquakes of 15 Richter, ultra strong solar electromagnetic radiation, massive volcanic activity, hurricane winds, fire storms, tsunamis several hundred meters around the world deep into the mainland and the high in the mountains, general flood ...
* 3.10. conjunction of Mercury, the Sun, Planet X - Earth
* 17.10. Planet X is the closest to Earth - distance 0232 AU or 21 million miles / 35 million km - the culmination of seismic and volcanic activity, but the earth's plates float ...
* 5.11. Planet X is a 0348 AU away from Earth - is entering the next conjunction, a country in the field, its tail from which the dust and debris caught in the earth - for this period NASA uses the term''Great Time''(but not announced a state of emergency and release! )
* 14.11. Other times exceeds the orbit of Mars, and moves toward the third conjunct
* 23.11. Sun - Earth - Planet X - distance from Earth 0596 AU, a partial solar eclipse, a dangerous alignment similar to 15.3. Japan 9 ° richer, but now the situation after moving the axis of the planet -''date of clearance of whatever it was, and whoever survived''(NASA)
* 4.12. is a conjunction - the second pass, the Sun - Mercury - Earth - Planet X
2012.
* 21.12.2012. at distances from 5.20 AU last conjunction of the Sun - Earth - Elena before they move in the direction of deep space
Note: All information on this page are the result of amateur knowledge and compilation of articles and insights into the various private and official web sites mainly in English, not confirmed by the relevant recognized and relevant sources, and are therefore unofficial and are used solely at your own risk. The authors distance themselves from any liability due to possible negligent and / or improper use of information from this web site or any other illegal action in this regard. The site was created with good intentions that - in the case is here exactly or nearly exactly - there is a source of information in Croatian.Print Page
To contact us Click HERE
The overall rise in ocean temperature has led to the largest movement of marine species in two to three million years, according to scientists. The rise in oceanic temperatures during the most recent summers has melted enough ice that it has created a passage from the Pacific Ocean to the North Atlantic, allowing plankton, fish, and whales into unfamiliar territory.
The discovery has sparked fears delicate marine food webs could be unbalanced and lead to some species becoming extinct as competition for food between the native species and the invaders stretches resources.
The scientists, who have been collaborating on the Climate Change and European Marine Ecosystems Research project, found the plankton species, called Neodenticula seminae, traveled into the Atlantic through a passage through the Arctic sea ice around that has opened up a number of times in the last decade from the Pacific Ocean. Larger species including the grey whale have also migrated through the newly formed passage.
Professor Chris Reid, from the Sir Alister Hardy Foundation for Ocean Science at the Plymouth Marine Laboratory, said: “It seems for the first time in probably thousands of years a huge area of sea water opened up between Alaska and the west of Greenland, allowing a huge transfer of water and species between the two oceans.
“The implications are huge. The last time there was an incursion of species from the Pacific into the Atlantic was around two to three million years ago. “Large numbers of species were introduced from the Pacific and made large numbers of local Atlantic species extinct.”
Faculty Evaluator: Peter Phillips, Sonoma State University
Student Researcher: Taylor Falbisaner, Sonoma State University
To contact us Click HERE
From what makes an effective resister to effective resistance strategies, in Deep Green Resistance, Aric McBay, Lierre Keith and Derrick Jensen lay out the reasons for and methods of bringing down industrial civilization. The goal is saving the biosphere, and with it, Homo sapiens. In Endgame a two-volume tome that everyone should read, Jensen writes, “Bringing down civilization means depriving the rich of their ability to steal from the poor, and it means depriving the powerful of their ability to destroy the planet.” He backs this up with his Twenty Premises.
DGR agrees: “It means thoroughly destroying the political, social, physical, and technological infrastructure that not only permits the rich to steal and the powerful to destroy, but rewards them for doing so.”
The breakthrough documentary, The Corporation, reveals that corporations are psychopathic with a single value: Increase profits no matter the cost to cultures, ecosystems or the planet as a whole. In tandem, Andrzej Łobaczewski’s Political Ponerology shows how hierarchies like corporations and governments draw psychopaths, so that today they dominate positions of power throughout the world.
Yet, social justice advocates maintain with near parallel psychopathy that those who lack a conscience can be shamed into good behavior by waving protest signs or signing petitions.DGR elaborates on overall strategy and specific tactics. It shows conclusively how past strategies and tactics “ranging from ineffectual to ridiculous” have failed.
Lighting candles, waving protest signs, or lobbying power as if it has a conscience has not stopped the ongoing destruction of Earth. At best, arrested protesters get publicity. But the business of destroying our planet proceeds unabated.
No one with integrity would deny that the chemical, pharmaceutical, nuclear, and resource extraction industries, along with industrial agriculture and wars, are squarely to blame for the mass die offs over the past year. Even the USDA admits to killing a million birds a year, deliberately. The situation has become serious. Nearly three-fourths of scientists today acknowledge the Holocene Extinction (our time period), during which 150-200 species a day are going extinct. Citing Harvard entomologist Edward O. Wilson, the 200-a-day figure is hammered throughout the text.
In addition to global and local economies, the ecological catastrophe of this ongoing mass extinction threatens every kingdom of life.Yet, having a thousand or 10,000 protesters arrested in front of the White House will not stop drilling for oil in the tar sands. Big Oil is going full steam ahead. DGR condemns such futile tactics. Instead, direct action is needed. The oil infrastructure is vulnerable, the authors assert. Any number of well conceived tactics can halt production, if that’s what you sincerely want to do.
To prove this, DGR points out that Ken Saro-Wiwa and his nonviolent group were likewise unable to stop Royal Dutch/Shell’s ongoing destruction of Nigeria. After he and eight others were executed, a militant group ( MEND ) has since stopped a third of oil production in the Niger Delta. They did this with acts of sabotage and direct violence against drillers. Their motto is, ‘if you stay here, you die here.’
Similar tactics could be applied in the Gulf of Mexico, where 1,500 oil rigs are destroying an entire sea, directly affecting three nations. The Macondo blowout still spews oil today (see here and here ). The ongoing health effects still make the news, as Florida Oil Spill Law continues to publicize. Gulf Coast residents would gain by following the rules of guerrilla warfare in defense of their health and livelihoods, as well as their environment. No matter how much (or how little) monetary compensation is given, the problem won’t go away until the rigs are shut down.
The growing Dead Zone in the Gulf has long been blamed on agrochemicals. How hard is it to prevent those chemicals from reaching crop dusters? Going to the source, sabotage of genetically modified crops is a common tactic of militants protecting the biosphere. Hell, I’d be happy if militants blocked the delivery of fluoride to my city’s water plant. Even better, a group of conscious insiders could simply not add the agro-industrial waste . Probably more important, a halt to fracking would certainly help the biosphere, including us humans.
And I can’t tell you how many times I’ve fantasized about firing a missile at the jets laying chemtrails over our skies. Nature helped recently. No chemtrails were laid during Hurricane Irene. For the first time in rural Florida, I saw thousands of stars and an arm of the Milky Way. A friend in New Jersey noticed the same thing. She cried. DGR recognizes that tactics must be weighed morally and for their strategic effect. Not all effective actions require defensive violence.
Tim DeChristopher understands this. By bidding for public lands with money he did not have at the time, he was able to stop an illegal auction of mining rights to public lands being held by federal agents. Though no bureaucrat has been punished or criminally charged, DeChristopher was sentenced to two years in federal prison. (Read his court speech and letter from prison).
DGR also recognizes that most people will not commend such actions, and warns potential underground resistance fighters to expect broad condemnation for any violence done in defense of the planet. But DGR has little patience for such collaborators – the first half of the book is a harsh criticism of the Left, coupled with a dismissive posture toward the Right.
This is the book’s only weakness. The writers are caught in the false Left-Right paradigm that keeps the masses divided along an archaic French dichotomy that has little to do with today’s political realities. DGR cannot recognize that anyone on the “right” cares about a healthy environment. Yet, it applauds the Vermont secession movement and the local food sovereignty movement, both of which are substantially peopled by conservatives and libertarians who believe in smaller government and who recognize that only a healthy environment will provide healthy food.
Forgiving that over-simplification, readers will gain much from the historical review of cultural resistance, and from the extended discussion of guerrilla strategy which comprises more than half the book. DGR analyzes past resistance movements, pointing out their strengths and shortcomings. Several charts emphasize their points.
“The task of the activist is not to navigate systems of oppressive power with as much personal integrity as possible; it is to dismantle those systems,” writes Keith.
We’re not going to vote, chant, protest, lobby or pray our way out of global catastrophe from eco-collapse. The global industrial system must collapse, instead. DGR admits that most environmentalists lack even a rudimentary understanding of arms and military tactics. Training will be required.
As part of their grand strategy, DGR recognizes the need for aboveground parallel institutions to support the work of frontline militants and to provide for communities as civilization collapses. This work is already ongoing. Transition towns, local money, sustainable localized foodsheds, parallel voting systems and much more have already begun.
Alliances will need to be forged between militants and aboveground activists, but given today’s panoptic police state, a strict security culture must be in place, they caution. Again, training will be required.
There is so much more to this book – and all of it important, including the discussion of white privilege and patriarchy. Both are part and parcel of industrial civilization. Even if you’re not about to don the robe of anarchy, the book should at least convince you to support the work of those who do.
Meanwhile, several dozen species went extinct today. In a world ruled by psychopaths who are systematically destroying the planet and who use violence to suppress resistance, the futility of nonviolence becomes apparent. Power does not relinquish anything without a fight.
It is up to us to effectively stop them. Deep Green Resistance shows how.
For the first week, the fire burned up a lot of empty USFS land but as it moves closer to Walker and Potato Patch (just south of Walker) there are now a lot structures at risk (only four have burned so far) which makes Walker the center of attention unless they can stop the fire in its tracks. It is about six or seven miles from top to bottom of the fire and the head of the fire is about 8 miles from Walker as of Saturday night.
The price of Facebook (FB) stock is well below the $38.00 offering price in the pre-market unofficially making it a goat rodeo. Apparently syndicate bids aren't what they used to be.
The market will have ups and downs and no one will get all of them right. But you can use a strategy that you have some reasonable basis to expect will work more often than not which combined with an adequate savings rate can give leave you with enough money when you need it.
The sell side of the industry has evolved a lot but is still rife with conflict. The action that Morgan Stanley supposedly took with this (and for that matter there are now questions as to what their position in the stock actually is) may or may not be illegal, I don't precisely know but as I said in the comments yesterday it is unethical if true. It is also not new behavior if it is true. 
The second planet in our solar system Venus: in the last thirty years, Venus' brightness is increased by a whopping 2500%. So Venus is 2500% brighter, changing the atmosphere of Venus, the planet produces much more energy, warmer than it was thirty years ago. As the warmer means experiencing global warming. Unbelievable!
Amory B. Lovins of the Rocky Mountain Institute
DGR agrees: “It means thoroughly destroying the political, social, physical, and technological infrastructure that not only permits the rich to steal and the powerful to destroy, but rewards them for doing so.”